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2017 FCS Playoff At Large Eligibility (Version 1)

grizband

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2017 FCS Playoff At Large Eligibility (Version 1)

I compiled a list of FCS teams still capable of reaching 7 Division 1 wins this season. Although 7 wins is no longer the official plateau for at-large selection, it is highly unlikely a 6-5 team will be selected. The list is for reference only, and is not meant to predict the probability of the teams selected. It will be updated weekly, as teams are eliminated, or teams secure their conference auto-bid.

Teams are organized by conference, although Ivy League teams are not included since their conference does not participate in the FCS playoffs. MEAC teams are listed since their second place team could still theoretically receive a playoff berth; only Alcorn State from the SWAC is listed, since all other teams are eliminated, or have schedule conflicts.

Teams preceded by an asterisk (*) have already reached 7 Division 1 wins; those listed in bold need to win all remaining games to reach 7 Division I wins.

Big Sky
Northern Arizona (5-2) must go 2-2
Eastern Washington (5-3) must go 2-1
Weber State (5-2) must go 3-1
Southern Utah (5-2) must go 2-2
Montana (5-2) must go 2-2
Sacramento State (4-3) must go 3-1
Montana State (3-4) must go 4-0
Idaho State (4-4) must go 3-0
UC Davis (3-4) must go 4-0


Northern Colorado (2-4) eliminated
North Dakota (2-6) eliminated
Portland State (0-7) eliminated
Cal Poly (0-7) eliminated

Big South
Kennesaw State (6-1) must go 2-2
Monmouth (6-1) must go 1-3
Charleston Southern (4-3) must go 4-0

Presbyterian (3-4) eliminated
Gardner-Webb (1-5) eliminated
Liberty (3-4) ineligible

Colonial
*James Madison (7-0)
Elon (6-1) must go 1-3
Stony Brook (5-2) must go 2-2
New Hampshire (5-2) must go 2-2
Delaware (5-2) must go 2-2
Richmond (4-3) must go 3-1
Villanova (4-3) must go 3-1
Maine (3-3) must go 4-0
Albany (3-4) must go 4-0


Towson (2-5) eliminated
William & Mary (2-5) eliminated
Rhode Island (1-6) eliminated

MEAC
*North Carolina A&T (8-0)
Hampton (5-2) must go 3-1
NC Central (5-2) must go 3-1
Howard (4-3) must go 4-0
Norfolk State 3-4 must go 4-0
Bethune-Cookman (3-4) must go 4-0


Morgan State (1-6) eliminated
SC State (2-5) eliminated
Florida A&M (2-6) eliminated
Delaware State (1-6) eliminated
Savannah State (0-7) eliminated

Missouri Valley
*North Dakota State (7-0)
South Dakota (6-1) must go 1-3
Illinois State (5-2) must go 2-2
Northern Iowa (4-3) must go 3-1
South Dakota State (5-2) must go 2-2
Western Illinois (5-2) must go 2-2
Southern Illinois (4-3) must go 3-1
Youngstown State (3-4) must go 4-0

Missouri State (1-6) eliminated
Indiana State (0-7) eliminated

Northeast
Duquesne (6-1) must go 2-2
CCSU (5-3) must go 3-0
Saint Francis (4-3) must go 4-0
Sacred Heart (3-4) must go 4-0


Robert Morris (2-5) eliminated
Bryant (2-5) eliminated
Wagner (2-5) eliminated

Ohio Valley
Jacksonville State (6-1) must go 1-3
Austin Peay (5-3) must go 2-2
Eastern Illinois (5-3) must go 2-1
Tennessee State (4-3) must go 3-1

SE Missouri State (2-5) eliminated
Eastern Kentucky (2-5) eliminated
Murray State (2-5) eliminated
UT Martin (3-4) eliminated
Tennessee Tech (0-7) eliminated

Patriot
Colgate (4-4) must go 3-0
Bucknell (4-3) must go 3-1

Lehigh (2-5) eliminated
Lafayette (2-6) eliminated
Fordham (2-6) eliminated
Holy Cross (2-6) eliminated
Georgetown (1-6) eliminated

Pioneer
San Diego (5-2) must go 3-1
Campbell (5-3) must go 3-0
Drake (4-3) must go 4-0


Butler (5-3) eliminated
Jacksonville (4-3) eliminated
Valparaiso (3-4) eliminated
Marist (3-5) eliminated
Morehead State (3-5) eliminated
Dayton (3-5) eliminated
Stetson (2-6) eliminated
Davidson (2-5) eliminated

Southern
Wofford (6-1) must go 1-4
Western Carolina (6-2) must go 1-3
Furman (5-3) must go 2-1
Samford (5-2) must go 3-1
Mercer (4-4) must go 3-0
The Citadel (4-3) must go 4-0


ETSU (3-4) eliminated
Chattanooga (1-7) eliminated
VMI (0-8) eliminated

Southland
Central Arkansas (6-1) must go 1-3
SE Louisiana (5-3) must go 2-1
McNeese (6-1) must go 1-3
Sam Houston State (6-1) must go 1-3
Nicholls (5-2) must go 2-2

Stephen F Austin (3-5) eliminated
Abilene (2-6) eliminated
Incarnate Word (1-6) eliminated
Northwestern State (1-6) eliminated
Houston Baptist (1-6) eliminated
Lamar (1-6) eliminated

SWAC
Alcorn State (5-3) must go 3-0
 
YSU - sans the SDSU win, they’ve got nothing. But you’ll hear arguments about their “quality losses”.
 
why does the pioneer league have to go to 8 wins? no biggie, this was a lot of work to put together so to keep it consistent with your first sentence.............
 
I count 60 teams possible at this point. Will be fun to keep this updated every week. Griz need to play week to week and take care of business!
 
DuCharme said:
YSU - sans the SDSU win, they’ve got nothing. But you’ll hear arguments about their “quality losses”.

Montana state would fit nicely in the MVFC.
 
All this playoff talk kills me. If we don't beat Weber and/or NAU we don't belong in the playoffs!
 
zirge said:
why does the pioneer league have to go to 8 wins? no biggie, this was a lot of work to put together so to keep it consistent with your first sentence.............
They need 8 total wins to reach 7 Division 1 wins, because they have a win over a lower division school. I neglected to make that clear in the first iteration of this report, and will create a mechanism to indicate this in future versions.
 
bhumble said:
I think Weber only needs to finish 2-2 not 3-1, correct?
Weber State's first win was against NAIA Montana-Western, so they currently sit at 4 Division 1 wins. With 4 games remaining, they must win 3 to hit 7 Division 1 wins.
 
reinell30 said:
All this playoff talk kills me. If we don't beat Weber and/or NAU we don't belong in the playoffs!

True that, but you have to admit that this is fun!
 
reinell30 said:
All this playoff talk kills me. If we don't beat Weber and/or NAU we don't belong in the playoffs!


True, and we would likely be a bubble team, just on the outside, looking in.
 
grizband said:
bhumble said:
I think Weber only needs to finish 2-2 not 3-1, correct?
Weber State's first win was against NAIA Montana-Western, so they currently sit at 4 Division 1 wins. With 4 games remaining, they must win 3 to hit 7 Division 1 wins.

Thanks for the clarification
 
grizband said:
zirge said:
why does the pioneer league have to go to 8 wins? no biggie, this was a lot of work to put together so to keep it consistent with your first sentence.............
They need 8 total wins to reach 7 Division 1 wins, because they have a win over a lower division school. I neglected to make that clear in the first iteration of this report, and will create a mechanism to indicate this in future versions.

right you are, to reach 7 Div 1 wins......thanks.
 
grizband said:
2017 FCS Playoff At Large Eligibility (Version 1)

I compiled a list of FCS teams still capable of reaching 7 Division 1 wins this season. Although 7 wins is no longer the official plateau for at-large selection, it is highly unlikely a 6-5 team will be selected. The list is for reference only, and is not meant to predict the probability of the teams selected. It will be updated weekly, as teams are eliminated, or teams secure their conference auto-bid.

Teams are organized by conference, although Ivy League teams are not included since their conference does not participate in the FCS playoffs. MEAC teams are listed since their second place team could still theoretically receive a playoff berth; only Alcorn State from the SWAC is listed, since all other teams are eliminated, or have schedule conflicts.

Teams preceded by an asterisk (*) have already reached 7 Division 1 wins; those listed in bold need to win all remaining games to reach 7 Division I wins.

Big Sky
Northern Arizona (5-2) must go 2-2
Eastern Washington (5-3) must go 2-1
Weber State (5-2) must go 3-1
Southern Utah (5-2) must go 2-2
Montana (5-2) must go 2-2
Sacramento State (4-3) must go 3-1
Montana State (3-4) must go 4-0
Idaho State (4-4) must go 3-0
UC Davis (3-4) must go 4-0


Northern Colorado (2-4) eliminated
North Dakota (2-6) eliminated
Portland State (0-7) eliminated
Cal Poly (0-7) eliminated

Big South
Kennesaw State (6-1) must go 2-2
Monmouth (6-1) must go 1-3
Charleston Southern (4-3) must go 4-0

Presbyterian (3-4) eliminated
Gardner-Webb (1-5) eliminated
Liberty (3-4) ineligible

Colonial
*James Madison (7-0)
Elon (6-1) must go 1-3
Stony Brook (5-2) must go 2-2
New Hampshire (5-2) must go 2-2
Delaware (5-2) must go 2-2
Richmond (4-3) must go 3-1
Villanova (4-3) must go 3-1
Maine (3-3) must go 4-0
Albany (3-4) must go 4-0


Towson (2-5) eliminated
William & Mary (2-5) eliminated
Rhode Island (1-6) eliminated

MEAC
*North Carolina A&T (8-0)
Hampton (5-2) must go 3-1
NC Central (5-2) must go 3-1
Howard (4-3) must go 4-0
Norfolk State 3-4 must go 4-0
Bethune-Cookman (3-4) must go 4-0


Morgan State (1-6) eliminated
SC State (2-5) eliminated
Florida A&M (2-6) eliminated
Delaware State (1-6) eliminated
Savannah State (0-7) eliminated

Missouri Valley
*North Dakota State (7-0)
South Dakota (6-1) must go 1-3
Illinois State (5-2) must go 2-2
Northern Iowa (4-3) must go 3-1
South Dakota State (5-2) must go 2-2
Western Illinois (5-2) must go 2-2
Southern Illinois (4-3) must go 3-1
Youngstown State (3-4) must go 4-0

Missouri State (1-6) eliminated
Indiana State (0-7) eliminated

Northeast
Duquesne (6-1) must go 2-2
CCSU (5-3) must go 3-0
Saint Francis (4-3) must go 4-0
Sacred Heart (3-4) must go 4-0


Robert Morris (2-5) eliminated
Bryant (2-5) eliminated
Wagner (2-5) eliminated

Ohio Valley
Jacksonville State (6-1) must go 1-3
Austin Peay (5-3) must go 2-2
Eastern Illinois (5-3) must go 2-1
Tennessee State (4-3) must go 3-1

SE Missouri State (2-5) eliminated
Eastern Kentucky (2-5) eliminated
Murray State (2-5) eliminated
UT Martin (3-4) eliminated
Tennessee Tech (0-7) eliminated

Patriot
Colgate (4-4) must go 3-0
Bucknell (4-3) must go 3-1

Lehigh (2-5) eliminated
Lafayette (2-6) eliminated
Fordham (2-6) eliminated
Holy Cross (2-6) eliminated
Georgetown (1-6) eliminated

Pioneer
San Diego (5-2) must go 3-1
Campbell (5-3) must go 3-0
Drake (4-3) must go 4-0


Butler (5-3) eliminated
Jacksonville (4-3) eliminated
Valparaiso (3-4) eliminated
Marist (3-5) eliminated
Morehead State (3-5) eliminated
Dayton (3-5) eliminated
Stetson (2-6) eliminated
Davidson (2-5) eliminated

Southern
Wofford (6-1) must go 1-4
Western Carolina (6-2) must go 1-3
Furman (5-3) must go 2-1
Samford (5-2) must go 3-1
Mercer (4-4) must go 3-0
The Citadel (4-3) must go 4-0


ETSU (3-4) eliminated
Chattanooga (1-7) eliminated
VMI (0-8) eliminated

Southland
Central Arkansas (6-1) must go 1-3
SE Louisiana (5-3) must go 2-1
McNeese (6-1) must go 1-3
Sam Houston State (6-1) must go 1-3
Nicholls (5-2) must go 2-2

Stephen F Austin (3-5) eliminated
Abilene (2-6) eliminated
Incarnate Word (1-6) eliminated
Northwestern State (1-6) eliminated
Houston Baptist (1-6) eliminated
Lamar (1-6) eliminated

SWAC
Alcorn State (5-3) must go 3-0

Ten automatic bids- BSC/Big South/Colonial/Missouri Valley/Northeast/Ohio Valley/Patriot/Pioneer/Southern/Southland
SWAC doesn't participate in playoffs
Pioneer one will qualify...same with Patriot and Big South
Bulk of at large will come from Big Sky/ Missouri Valley/ Southland
 
Diesel said:
... Ten automatic bids- BSC/Big South/Colonial/Missouri Valley/Northeast/Ohio Valley/Patriot/Pioneer/Southern/Southland
SWAC doesn't participate in playoffs
Pioneer one will qualify...same with Patriot and Big South
Bulk of at large will come from Big Sky/ Missouri Valley/ Southland
True about the SWAC, speaking practically ... they would need to have three FCS-competitive teams because the two top play in their championship and are therefore ineligible. But, in theory, that third competitive team could get an at-large playoff bid. (Probably not gonna happen in our life-time :lol: .)

Easier for the MEAC ... they only need two FCS-competitive teams. Their regular-season champion plays in the HBCU Celebration Bowl, but a second team could get an at-large bid. That, in fact, happened last year.
 
IdaGriz01 said:
Diesel said:
... Ten automatic bids- BSC/Big South/Colonial/Missouri Valley/Northeast/Ohio Valley/Patriot/Pioneer/Southern/Southland
SWAC doesn't participate in playoffs
Pioneer one will qualify...same with Patriot and Big South
Bulk of at large will come from Big Sky/ Missouri Valley/ Southland
True about the SWAC, speaking practically ... they would need to have three FCS-competitive teams because the two top play in their championship and are therefore ineligible. But, in theory, that third competitive team could get an at-large playoff. (Probably not gonna happen in our life-time :lol: .)

Easier for the MEAC ... they only need two FCS-competitive teams. Their regular-season champion plays in the HBCU Celebration Bowl, but a second team could get an at-large bid. That, in fact, happened last year.
SWAC doesn't get an auto-bid, and both Grambling and Southern are ineligible, but they could in theory get an at large bid into the playoffs.
 
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